New Study Predicts Doubling of Worldwide Prostate Cancer Cases by 2040 – Unveiling Key Insights

A groundbreaking study published Thursday in The Lancet medical journal unveils alarming projections regarding prostate cancer, indicating a dramatic surge in annual diagnoses expected to double by 2040. Conducted by leading scientists at the London Institute of Cancer Research, the study underscores a pressing global health concern, particularly prevalent in lower-income countries.

According to the study’s findings, the anticipated rise in prostate cancer cases will soar to a staggering 2.9 million annually by 2040, marking a significant escalation from the 1.4 million cases recorded in 2020. This surge in diagnoses is anticipated to affect men in low- and middle-income nations predominantly.

New Study Prediction: Doube number of Worldwide Prostate Cancer Cases by 2040

Furthermore, the research reveals a distressing trajectory in prostate cancer-related fatalities, with deaths projected to escalate to nearly 700,000 per year by 2040, a sharp increase from the 375,000 reported in 2020.

Despite advancements in healthcare, the study highlights a stark contrast between high-income and low- to middle-income countries, where mortality rates and case numbers continue to rise unabated. This trend is exacerbated by limited access to early detection methods such as PSA testing, especially in underserved regions.

Lead author Dr. Nick James emphasized the urgency of proactive measures, stating, “As more and more men around the world live to middle and old age, there will be an inevitable rise in the number of prostate cancer cases. We know this surge in cases is coming, so we must start planning and taking action now.”

While lifestyle modifications and public health interventions offer some relief, the study underscores the certainty of the rising trend, as the primary risk factors—age and family history—remain unmodifiable.

Prostate cancer’s significant global impact is underscored by its prevalence, comprising 15% of all male cancers worldwide. Notably, the disease is the most common form of cancer among men in over half of all countries. 

With no definitive cure for metastatic prostate cancer, early detection is paramount for effective treatment. However, disparities in access to screenings contribute to higher incidence and mortality rates in regions with limited resources.

Celebrity disclosures of prostate cancer diagnoses, including Sir Ian McKellen and Robert De Niro, highlight the importance of raising awareness and promoting early detection efforts.

The Lancet study calls for heightened research efforts, mainly focusing on diverse patient populations, to address existing disparities in prostate cancer care.


Dr. David Samadi is the Director of Men’s Health and Urologic Oncology at St. Francis Hospital in Long Island. He’s a renowned and highly successful board certified Urologic Oncologist Expert and Robotic Surgeon in New York City, regarded as one of the leading prostate surgeons in the U.S., with a vast expertise in prostate cancer treatment and Robotic-Assisted Laparoscopic Prostatectomy.  Dr. Samadi is a medical contributor to NewsMax TV and is also the author of The Ultimate MANual, Dr. Samadi’s Guide to Men’s Health and Wellness, available online both on Amazon and Barnes & Noble. Visit Dr. Samadi’s websites at robotic oncology and prostate cancer 911. 


Dr. David Samadi | Robotic Prostate Surgeon

About is a resource created by Dr. David Samadi in order to raise awareness and get more men to receive prostate cancer treatment. The information is strictly general and you should always discuss with your doctor issues concerning your health.


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